In contrast, a -190 favorite has a higher chance of winning than a -120 favorite.īettors can translate these line numbers into an implied probability. Thus, a +100 underdog has a higher chance of winning than a +240 underdog (according to the book). sportsbooks only utilize these odds.Īccording to this system, the line number rises when the possibility of winning is low and falls when the likelihood of winning is high. American odds are those that provide positive numbers (like +100, +222, etc.) to the underdog and negative numbers (like -120, -155, etc.) to the favorite. The simplest definition of anticipated value in sports betting is a method of calculating the difference in likelihood between a bettor’s expectations and those of the sportsbook.īetting lines, which are assigned by oddsmakers to all moneylines, point spreads, totals, and other bet types, are visible to bettors as their probability estimates. What Expected Value Is There In Sports Betting? What a Bet with Positive Expected Value Looks Like.
Why Does Expected Value Matter to Sports Bettors?.What Expected Value Is There In Sports Betting?.